Yesterday I met coincidally with Mr. Manlupig at the Command & Staff College of the German Armed Forces where I work on the topic of Cyberwarfare. Mr. Manlupig is well known for highly interesting speeches and statements here at the academy. His speech about windows of opportunity kept me thinking for more than a year now. And then something happened when I brought the computerized stock market, cyber warfare and Mr. Manlupigs speech together. This great scholar is absolutely right for today but how should we develop his thoughts for tomorrows environment ?
Today most of every days life is managed by computer models: Traffic, GPS, social behavior, digital money traffic and at least decision making. People`s decisions follow more and more computerized models and not human intuition. Human decision making on some levels and qualities became obsolete.
Wars had a duration of years during the first half of the last century and shifted to proxy war and low intensity warfare during the second half. The last escalation step meant a nuclear war which would had a duration of days or even hours until the fight would tragically end. Cyber warfare developed tools that would hit an enemy within milliseconds. It is right that some tools work for years, others for weeks and days but some strikes only last for a duration which can not be recognized by man without tools.
Where humans could make decisions bending over plans, discussing solutions with their staff the duration of windows of oportunity became smaller during the times of nuclear threats. Decisions for nuclear szenarios were made before the situation to have a ready manual at hand but how can the decision maker prepare for Cyber scenarios witch are over nearly before they began ? To compare him with a broker trying to challenge a stock market digital system would fit here well.
So would like to motivate you to send me E-mails on that topic: Will the human mind become obsolete in decision making during the coming centuries if the time span to make decisions shrinks to milliseconds ?
Today most of every days life is managed by computer models: Traffic, GPS, social behavior, digital money traffic and at least decision making. People`s decisions follow more and more computerized models and not human intuition. Human decision making on some levels and qualities became obsolete.
Wars had a duration of years during the first half of the last century and shifted to proxy war and low intensity warfare during the second half. The last escalation step meant a nuclear war which would had a duration of days or even hours until the fight would tragically end. Cyber warfare developed tools that would hit an enemy within milliseconds. It is right that some tools work for years, others for weeks and days but some strikes only last for a duration which can not be recognized by man without tools.
Where humans could make decisions bending over plans, discussing solutions with their staff the duration of windows of oportunity became smaller during the times of nuclear threats. Decisions for nuclear szenarios were made before the situation to have a ready manual at hand but how can the decision maker prepare for Cyber scenarios witch are over nearly before they began ? To compare him with a broker trying to challenge a stock market digital system would fit here well.
So would like to motivate you to send me E-mails on that topic: Will the human mind become obsolete in decision making during the coming centuries if the time span to make decisions shrinks to milliseconds ?
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